علوم اقتصادی با گرایش اقتصادسنجی و اقتصاد پولی
دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
من در سال 1378 در رشته اقتصاد در دانشگاه تهران پذیرفته شدم و در سال 1382 نیز موفق به ورود به دوره کارشناسی ارشد در همین رشته شدم. در سال 1384 با عنوان فارغ التحصیل برتر (رتبه 1) از دوره کارشناسی ارشد دانشگاه تهران فارغ التحصیل شدم و مجددا در آزمون ورودی دوره دکتری با کسب رتبه 1 وارد دوره دکتری اقتصاد با گرایش اصلی اقتصادسنجی و اقتصاد پولی شدم. در سال 1390 موفق به کسب مدرک دکتری خود از همین دانشگاه شدم. به غیر از سوابق تحصیلی، سوابقی هم در امر پژوهش در مرکز پژوهشهای مجلس شورای اسلامی (1 سال) و نیز موسسه مطالعات و پژوهشهای بازرگانی (10 سال) به عنوان همکار پژوهشی دارم. از سال 1393 جذب دانشگاه تربیت مدرس شدم و در زمینه اقتصادسنجی و اقتصاد پولی و همچنین اقتصاد صنعت فعالیت میکنم.
Background In recent years the use of time to death (TTD) variables in the modeling of individual health expenditures?has been of interest to health economics researchers. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of age and TTD?on hospital inpatient expenditure (HIE). ? Methods We used a claims database from Iran Health Insurance Organization of Tehran city that includes considerable?proportion of Tehran residents and contains information on insured individuals’ HIE. We included HIE of all insured?decedents (30 to 90 years old) who died during March 2013 and March 2014 (n = 1018). No sampling was required.?According to the decedents’ date of death, we extracted their last 24 months HIE. The period of time March 30, 2011?until
This study aims to investigate the dynamics of consumption distribution and to determine how it is affected by macroeconomic fluctuations based on two different types of household classifications: education level of household heads and consumption deciles. The urban Households Income and Expenditure dataset issued by the Statistical Center of Iran and a Factor Augmented Vector Auto Regressive model are used to assess the goals of this study. In other words, we study the consumption responses of different kinds of families to macroeconomic fluctuations. The following results were obtained from statistical analysis and estimation of the model. First, the standard deviation of the (log) real per capita consumption of the lowest group, familie
Our objective in this study is to analyze effective factors of capital outflow from the Middle East and North African countries. Despite a high rate of unemployment, budget deficits, low per capita income, foreign debts and high inequality, the MENA countries are now facing with capital outflow problem and therefore to work out a solution for this problem we should recognize the factors which affect it. In this research, we have postulated the variables showing economic conditions including Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth, Inflation and Foreign Exchange Rate Fluctuations, institutions quality variables including economic freedom index, governance and ruling index (The Right to Comment and Responsibility, Political Stability, Government
There is a growing attention to models which contain a broader set of economic data. In recent decade, introduction of Factor Augmented VAR models through augmentation of traditional VAR models with unobservable “factors” has made a new route to econometric modeling. In spite of the growing number of international papers and researches which have used FAVAR approach to modeling policy shocks to various economies, there is little about Iranian economy. So the paper is an attempt to fill the gap in the literature using an FAVAR model to analyze transmission of oil and monetary shocks to Iranian economy. The model contains 35 major macroeconomic annual variables spanning from 1974 to 2014. The results show that “real sector” of Iranian
Background: Considering the health economics aspect, the effect of population aging on the growth of medical expenditures is of great importance. Thus, the aim of this study was to investigate the growth rate of inpatient hospital expenditures (IHE) of older age groups compared to other age groups or testing of steepening hypothesis.Methods: In this descriptive-analytic study, monthly IHE data of insured patients from April 2011 to March 2014 was collected from Iran Health Insurance Organization database. The sample consisted of 29745 patients who were selected using stratified random sampling among the patients insured by different health insurance funds. Using the age cut method, patients were classified into 2 main age groups: older than
The aim of this study was to measure the potential of production and the capacity used in the pharmaceutical industry. Capacity use is the actual production rate to the potential output, which reflects the gap between actual production and production capacity.
Theoretically speaking, monetary policy transparency refers to the informational symmetry between the central bank and the private sector. High degree of transparency reduces uncertainty, improves the private-sector inference about central bank goals, and increases the effectiveness of monetary policy. This study analyzes the impact of financial and monetary freedom on monetary policy transparency. A set of 102 countries -categorized in low, middle and high income groups have been investigated for the period 1998-2010, since the monetary policy transparency data are not available from 2010 onwards. The panel cointegation test suggests that the long run relationship between variables exists. The empirical findings suggest that while GDP per
This paper examines the trend and determinants of terms of trade of Iran. Using a vector-error correction model (VECM), two models has been estimated for Iran’s economy. Terms of trade in Model I is the net barter terms of trade; and in Model II is the ratio of export to import unit values. Annual data of 1966-2012 and seasonal data of 1991-2011 have been used for respectively, Model I and II. Four variables have been identified as main explanatory elements of variation in terms of trade over time; these variables are output, exchange rate, trade openness and oil prices. VECM is used to capture the long-run interaction among variables. In first part of the article, the trend in terms of trade is evaluated to investigate whether there is a
Unemployment is one of the major problems of economy in different countries for example Iran and the requirement for solving this problem is identifying the factors effecting it. In this research the effect of economic variables like rate of economic growth, economic discrimination and the ratio of the capital holding to the labor force and population variables like immigration and the ratio of the rate of partnership of men to the rate of partnership of women on the rate of unemployment in the provinces of Iran have been evaluated. The given in this research are for the time period from 2005 to 2013 and the research model has been obtained by the method of panel data from the basis of which the effects of variables on the rate of unemploym
The current study examines the effect of stock market development on capital structure on one hand and capital structure on firm performance on the other hand. It also examines some variables related to firm specifications. To do so, unbalanced panel data of 175 non-financial firms in securities and exchange organization of country and a recursive equation system including two equations related to capital structure and firm performance have been used. Evaluation of the stock market development effect on capital structure and considering how capital structure affects firm performance makes it possible to evaluate direct effect of stock market development on firm capital structure and also its indirect effect on firm performance. In this rega
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