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An adaptation capacity model in the face of climate change: A qualitative content analysis

Maryam Shariatzadeh, Masoud Bijani, Enayat Abbasi, Saeed Morid
Journal PapersJournal of Arid Environments , Volume 185 , 2021 February , {Pages 104326 }

Abstract

Identifying the components of adaptation capacity (AC) of agricultural beneficiaries in the face of climate change lead to implementing strategies of better management in order to reduce damages caused by this change. This issue is of utmost importance in Iran with an arid and semi-arid climate, wherein about 25% of the population is comprised of agricultural beneficiaries. Accordingly, this study aimed to identify and analyze AC components of agricultural beneficiaries to present an appropriate model in the face of climate change. The study area was the Lake Urmia basin where the beneficiaries had been severely affected over the recent years. As a result, qualitative content analysis (QCA) based on the inductive logic was utilized as the r

Quantitative Evaluation of ‘No-harm’Rule in International Transboundary Water Law in the Helmand River Basin

Hojjat Mianabadi, Simin Alioghli, Saeid Morid
Journal PapersJournal of Hydrology , 2021 April 24, {Pages 126368 }

Abstract

The international legal principle of ‘no-harm’, as a customary international law, lies at the heart of numerous international transboundary water conventions, rules, and agreements. The current study identifies and examines the three most common categories of harm, namely health, environmental, and economic, in an integrated framework. Exploitation of the Kamal Khan dam over the Hirmand/Helmand Transboundary River internationally shared between Iran and Afghanistan has been selected as a case study. For this aim, an integrated modeling approach that links Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration (IHA), dust storm events (DST) and crop production is developed to simulate the indicators and their paramete

Robust climate change adaptation pathways in agricultural water management

Fariba Babaeian, Majid Delavar, Saeed Morid, Raghavan Srinivasan
Journal PapersAgricultural Water Management , Volume 252 , 2021 June 30, {Pages 106904 }

Abstract

Analysis of climate change impacts as well as conscious decision-making and long-term planning in complex water resources systems require use of innovative approaches under conditions of deep climate uncertainty. This research aims to design and evaluate robust adaptable plans under deep climate uncertainties in the agricultural sector. For this purpose, a combination of the Adaptation Pathways (AP) approach in conjunction with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model is used to evaluate the robustness of adaptation actions and to design robust adaptation pathways under future climate uncertainties in the Hablehroud River Basin, Iran. Deep climate uncertainties are specified as plausible climate scenario combinations according to the

Assessing basin blue–green available water components under different management and climate scenarios using SWAT

F Jeyrani, S Morid, R Srinivasan
Journal Papers , , {Pages }

Abstract

Validation of the CHIRPS and CPC-Unified products for estimating extreme daily precipitation over southwestern Iran

HA Ghaedamini, S Morid, MJ Nazemosadat, A Shamsoddini, ...
Journal Papers , , {Pages }

Abstract

Evaluation of ECMWF mid-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for the Karun River basin

Mozhgan Abedi, Hossein Shafizadeh-Moghadam, Saeed Morid, Martijn J Booij, Majid Delavar
Journal PapersTheoretical and Applied Climatology , 2020 March 26, {Pages 10-Jan }

Abstract

Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPSs) are increasingly applied for rainfall forecasts and flooding warning systems. In this paper, these forecasts and their skills are evaluated through relevant criteria, particularly by considering forecast performances for different lead times. Furthermore, to enhance their performance, we propose to preprocess the EPS forecasts’ output using bias correction methods. For this aim, forecasts for different ranges of precipitation as well as various climatic conditions are evaluated, which is particularly important for extreme events that can lead to flooding. The Karun River basin in Iran is used as case study, a large area including various climate conditions. The results showed that the performance of Euro

Basin-wide water accounting based on modified SWAT model and WA+ framework for better policy making

M Delavar, S Morid, R Morid, A Farokhnia, F Babaeian, R Srinivasan, P Karimi
Journal PapersJournal of Hydrology , 2020 February 27, {Pages 124762 }

Abstract

Evaluation of water resources systems and implementation of appropriate management strategies requires accurate and well classified information describing supply, demand, and consumption. The WA+ water accounting framework is a relevant tool in this regard. Earlier applications of the WA+ framework draw heavily from remote sensing (RS) data; however, applying RS data limits the application of the framework to past and current situations. Such analyses are needed for future assessments due to new management and climate scenarios. Therefore, the objective of this research is to link WA+ with the Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to enhance it and to evaluate water management strategies through an integrated framework. The resulting syst

Reducing water footprints through healthy and reasonable changes in diet and imported products

F Mirzaie-Nodoushan, S Morid, H Dehghanisanij
Journal PapersSustainable Production and Consumption , 2020 April 16, {Pages }

Abstract

This study investigated the effects of diet change on reducing water consumption in Iran, while meeting its nutrition requirements. It also addresses how such a national policy could be effective at global scale in order to reduce water consumption. To address the issues, the concept of water footprint (WF) was employed for Iranian food basket which was divided into 12 groups. The evaluated diets included current (reference) diet, healthy recommended diet under the national food-based dietary guidelines and two optimized diets (minimized?total consumption WF diet and minimized internal blue WF diet) with minimum deviation from the reference diet. It avoids, when possible, elimination of one or more food groups as this would be unacceptable

Water and agricultural policies in Iranian macro‐level documents from the perspective of adaptation to climate change

Nader Heydari, Saeed Morid
Journal PapersIrrigation and Drainage , 2020 July 5, {Pages }

Abstract

The impacts of climate change on arid regions such as Iran are unavoidable, with agriculture and water being the most vulnerable sectors. Although the development of adaptation policies is crucial, the first step to this task should be to assess ongoing policies. The present study evaluates four macro‐level documents that have the strongest effects on water and agricultural policies in Iran from the perspective of adaptation to climate change. Two frameworks have been applied to evaluate the “integrity” and “maladaptation” aspects of the documents. It was found that the themes most often considered in the documents were ‘improving resiliency and adaptive capacity’ and “responding to changes in water availability.” The lea

Development of an Agent-Based Model to simulate the behavior of agricultural users in water and land management

Ali Hossein Seyedeh Shima Poor, MAJID DELAVAR, Amineh Ghorbani, Pieter Fan Derzakh, SAEED MORID, ENAYAT ABBASI
Journal Papers , Volume 7 , Issue 2, 2020 January 1, {Pages 421-435 }

Abstract

Since there are various social factors and differences between different sectors of the system, ignoring water users’ attributes and their social behavior as well as considering only the homogeneous and up-down management scheme, would not be a successful approach in sustainable water management. Agent-Based Modeling is a relatively new approach that provides helpful tools to simulate social behaviors in sustainable water management. In this study, the agriculture sector’s water use is simulated using a conceptual framework and an Agent-Based Model to study the behavior of the decision-making agents. Therefore, to prepare the conceptual model and to simulate and analyze the social behavior of water users (in three decision levels of the

How Can Researchers and Managers Better Collaborate on Lake Urmia Restoration?

David E Rosenberg, Masoud Parsinejad, Somayeh Sima, Wayne A Wurtsbaugh, Sarah Null, Armin Sorooshian, Omid Raja, Yusef Alizade Govarchin Ghale, Bahram Khazaei, Saeed Morid
Journal Papers , 2020 January , {Pages 1 }

Abstract

The large decline in Lake Urmia's level since 1995 has prompted a correspondingly large increase in research to help inform lake restoration. Here we synthesize results from 451 English-language articles (Figure 1) to answer four lake restoration questions of interest to the public and lake managers. We ask: 1) What lake restoration levels were considered besides the ecological level of 1274.1 m? 2) How has the causeway affected lake conditions? 3) Do we know enough about lake limnology and ecology to facilitate recovery? And 4) what to learn from Great Salt Lake management? We seek to share these findings with Lake Urmia managers, solicit feedback, and identify next steps for restoration and collaborative work.

Evaluation of ECMWF mid-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for the Karun River basin.

M Abedi, H Shafizadeh-Moghadam, S Morid, MJ Booij, M Delavar
Journal Papers , , {Pages }

Abstract

Implementation of the WA+ Water Accounting System at the Basin Level and the Challenges (Lessons Learned From the Case Study of Tashk-Bakhtegan Basin)

M DELAVAR, S MORID, RL Goli
Journal Papers , , {Pages }

Abstract

Impacts of land use changes and climate variability on transboundary Hirmand River using SWAT

Mohammadreza Hajihosseini, Hamidreza Hajihosseini, Saeed Morid, Majid Delavar, Martijn J Booij
Journal PapersJournal of Water and Climate Change , 2019 October 18, {Pages }

Abstract

Many river basins are facing a reduction of flows which might be attributed to changes in climate and human activities. This issue is very important in transboundary river basins, where already existing conflicts about shared water resources between riparian countries can easily escalate. The decrease of streamflow in the transboundary Hirmand (Helmand) River is one of the main challenges for water resources management in Iran and Afghanistan. This research aims to quantify the causes of this problem which has a direct impact on the dryness of the Hamoun wetlands being an international Ramsar site. To achieve this, the land use changes in the Middle Helmand Basin (MHB) in Afghanistan were evaluated for three time periods between 19

Effect and side-effect assessment of different agricultural water saving measures in an integrated framework

Leila Goli Raeisi, Saeed Morid, Majid Delavar, Raghavan Srinivasan
Journal PapersAgricultural Water Management , Volume 223 , 2019 August 20, {Pages 105685 }

Abstract

Water scarcity has always been a serious challenge for agriculture and food security. Hence, different strategies are considered to save more water and increase water productivity. However, the effectiveness of such water saving measures have not been sufficiently evaluated. In addition, they may have side effects like salt accumulation, which will be exacerbated in dry and semi-arid zones. So, any evaluation needs to be done in an integrated framework. Thus, this work aims to evaluate some of the most popular agricultural water management measures from the points of view of real water saving, water productivity, soil salinity and environmental flow. Such an evaluation requires both field- and basin-scale simulations. To this aim, a modelli

Assessment of the Capacity of Current Agricultural Water Management in Zarrineh Rud Basin for Adaptation to Climate Change Using Robust Decision Making Technique

F Babania, S MORID, A SHOKRI
Journal Papers , Volume 14 , Issue 500932, 2019 January 1, {Pages 27-38 }

Abstract

In the management of water resources systems, there are various inherent uncertainties which are exacerbated in longer planning horizons. Among these uncertainties, those related to climate change and its consequences are among the most challenging and attributed as deep uncertainty since there is no clear probabilistic distribution for the outcomes. For such cases, it is crucial to take more robust decisions and maintain their performances during different climatic scenarios. This issue is addressed as the objective of current research in which the concept of “robustness” is applied for evaluation of climate change adaptation strategies. For this purpose, this study used Robust Decision Making (RDM) technique, which was linked to Soil

Challenges and compromises of agricultural water supply and environmental water right in the Lake Urmia basin

M Moghaddasi, S Morid, M DELAVAR, Safa H Hoseini
Journal Papers , Volume 15 , Issue 200929, 2019 January 1, {Pages 26-38 }

Abstract

Restoration of Lake Urmia, as one of the major recent issues in Iran, has been considered by the government since 2008. How the water allocation to this restoration plan has impact on agricultural sector in the basin is amongst the main reasons that so far hindered the proper results of the restoration efforts. This study aims to show the impact of water allocation to this Lake on the agricultural sector of related provinces (West Azerbaijan, East Azerbaijan, and Kurdistan). So purposely, in order to evaluate water allocation to Lake, a 50-year period of natural surface flows of watershed’s rivers was considered under the various hydrological conditions and three agricultural water management scenarios. Results showed that having supplied

Evaluation of Pixel-Based and Object Oriented Classification Approaches for Determining Land Use Changes in Van Lake Basin and its Comparison to Lake Urmia Basin

M RAHIMPOUR, S MORID, N KARIMI, H AYDIN
Journal Papers , Volume 15 , Issue 100928, 2019 January 1, {Pages 13-Jan }

Abstract

One key question in restoration of Urmia Lake is to investigate the difference between the behaviors of Urmia Lake (Iran) and Van Lake (Turkey). Land use change is one of the most important factors which can show the role of human activities in Urmia Lake desalination. The main objectives of present papers are:(a) comparison of pixel-based and object-oriented classification approaches (includes Mahalanobis Distance (MD), Maximum Likelihood (ML) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) and SVM object-oriented methods) for determination of land use changes in Van basin during 1978-2007 and (b) comparison the process of land use changes in both Urmia and Van basins. The results showed that the accuracy of object-oriented classification method (Kappa C

Review of Concepts and Principals of Climate Change Adaptation Plans

F Jeyrani, S MORID
Journal Papers , Volume 14 , Issue 400933, 2019 January 1, {Pages 258-270 }

Abstract

Increasing impacts of climate change on societies has caused the issue to get more attention. Review of the literature shows that the recent attempts are not solely concentrated on “impact assessment” and “adaptation” is winning more focus in the studies, though this shift is not much tangible in our country. For instance, the proceeding of the Fifth Iranian Meteorological Organization on Climate Change revealed that only 2% of the articles were concentrated on the subject of adaptation. This paper attempts to motivate this subject and explain a few related concepts and dimensions, which can be helpful for any research and technical work on climate change adaptation. With regard to this matter, the suggested approaches, strategies,

Development of SWAT-LU Model for Simulation of Urmia Lake Water Level Decrease and Assessment of the Proposed Actions for its Restoration; Part 3: Water Accounting Analysis and?…

Ashkan Farokhnia, Saeid Morid, Majid Delavar, Karim Abbaspour
Journal PapersIranian Journal of Irrigation & Drainage , Volume 12 , Issue 6, 2019 February 20, {Pages 1362-1380 }

Abstract

The rapid drying rate of the Urmia Lake over the past two decades has caused great concern. Meanwhile, a number of measures are proposed for restoration of the Lake, which are also costly and need considerable investments. However, there have not been paid enough attention to analyse how, to what extent and under what circumstances; they can be effective. This paper attempts to address this issue and apply the developed integrated model (i.e. SWAT-LU) and link it to the water accounting framework (WA+) for more accurate evaluation of such measures to save water in the basin and increase inflows to Urmia Lake. To this end, the changes of water budget components under different restoration measures were evaluated in the form of water accounti

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